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The Fed Considers Collateral Value vs. Inflation E-mail
Written by David Neubert   
Thursday, 12 June 2008

Would the Fed hold back on stopping inflation just to protect its new mortgage portfolio? Michael Pento at GreenFaucet certainly proposes the idea. I think the proposal is wrong. The value of collateral held by the Fed is much less important to them than the long-term effects of inflation. Inflation hurts the credibility of the Fed and thus long term interest rates (in the long term). And having an untrustworthy central bank would wreck havoc with the economy and the Fed greater than any losses on the collateral value of loans to banks.

The real worry? Stagflation. The Fed is now considering raising interest rates to stop inflation in the face of a slowing economy.

Disclosure: I hold dollars, the value of which inflation is slowly dwindling. I do not hold mortgage bonds or have a mortgage.
David Neubert  Inflation 

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David Neubert
About the author:
David Neubert ran the largest trading desk in the world.
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 12 June 2008 )
 
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