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Why Commodities Will Struggle in 2008 E-mail
Written by Eben Esterhuizen   
Wednesday, 26 March 2008
A recent Barrons article points out that "gold and copper are each down 12% from the all-time highs seen on March 17 and March 6, respectively, while crude has fallen 11% from its March 17 high. London International Financial Futures Exchange sugar and cocoa are off 25% and 21%, respectively, from recent highs, while Chicago Board of Trade wheat has slipped nearly 20% since March 13." Is this the end of the commodity bull run?

Mining
Photo:gordmckenna, Creative Commons, Flickr

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Last Updated ( Sunday, 30 March 2008 )
 
Silent Spring Happening Now at a Forest Near You E-mail
Written by Jeanne Roberts   
Monday, 24 March 2008
A 2008 report from Canada shows an alarming decrease in insect-eating species of birds.

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Last Updated ( Tuesday, 25 March 2008 )
 
Is the Sky Falling? A Recap and a Prediction E-mail
Written by Mark Bershatsky   
Saturday, 22 March 2008
As we push further into 2008 and see market conditions continue to deteriorate, the number one question that investors seem to be focused on is whether things have gotten bad enough to lead to a recession. Many financial experts seem to think so, but if we are heading in this direction, are the right actions being taken and what will this mean going forward?


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Last Updated ( Sunday, 30 March 2008 )
 
The Light at the End of the Tunnel is Just an Oncoming Train E-mail
Written by Eben Esterhuizen   
Thursday, 20 March 2008
Light
Photo:endlesstorture, Creative Commons, Flickr
The folks at Standard & Poor's Ratings Services crack me up. In December they said that they don't expect a U.S. recession. Now they say there is a light at the end of the subprime tunnel, claiming that we are halfway through a forecasted $285 billion in writedowns. I must admit that I find their optimism refreshing. If we are in fact halfway through the subprime crisis, what will the second half look like?
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Last Updated ( Sunday, 23 March 2008 )
 
The End of Hedge Funds E-mail
Written by Eben Esterhuizen   
Wednesday, 19 March 2008
If you are invested in a hedge fund, you should read Martin Wolf's explanation of why today's hedge fund industry may not survive. Mr. Wolf argues that the hedge fund industry is bound to attract "the unscrupulous and unskilled," because it's hard to distinguish luck from skill. He further argues that most hedge funds follow strategies that have "a high probability of a modest gain and a low probability of huge losses in any period.". The implication here is that the hedge fund industry has been picking up pennies in front of the steam roller, and that a doomsday event could wipe out the industry.
All Your Eggs
Photo:B-Tal, Creative Commons, Flickr

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Last Updated ( Sunday, 23 March 2008 )
 
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