"If you could parlay some insider info into a guaranteed $10 million trade but knew you stood a 50 percent chance of getting arrested for INSIDER TRADING, would you?
YES: 7%
If you could make that same $10 million trade but stood only a 10 PERCENT chance of getting arrested, would you?
YES: 28%
If you could make that same $10 million trade but stood NO CHANCE whatsoever of getting arrested, would you?
YES: 58%"
It would seem that the likelihood of being caught is a definite deterent. Makes me think the S.E.C. could use more funding.
In fact, if Microsoft really wanted to play hard ball at this point they could simply give Yahoo 48 hours to accept the terms or pull the offer off of the table. With the offer off of the table Yahoo stock would immediately drop. The lawsuits would take place driving the stock down further and if Microsoft just waited 6 months or so they might be able to end up buying the stock in the end for somewhere around $8 a share.
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