Items Tagged With TIP

Listening to Market Predictions: Do Not Get Caught Picking Your Bottom
Written By: David Neubert
2008-10-27 10:52:11
The media is having a field day with the market decline. People who wouldn't normally be interested are watching CNBC or Bloomberg TV and reading the business section. If you are making predictions of Dow 2000 or Dow 1000 you will get on TV or quoted in the newspaper. Now there is also a big incentive to call the bottom of the market. The person who randomly picks the bottom will become famous but many who follow the predictions of bottom pickers will get nothing but losses. There is an old Wall Street saying that goes: "Don't pick your nose and don't pick bottoms."

What is the right thing to do?

If you have a 401k:

Long Term Interest Rates: Breaking Out or in a Range
Written By: David Neubert
2007-06-13 09:36:14
It seems like just weeks ago the financial media was looking for the coming drop in fed funds rate by the Fed. Real Estate was dropping and the economy was slowing. This time last year, inflation was on the rise and interest rates were going up. I like to use the financial media as a contra indicator on bonds.

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Long Term Investor Who has Made Good Calls is Selling TIP
Written By: David Neubert
2008-03-10 11:00:58
A reader who likes to send me his portfolio decisions has had a better call on the markets lately. What I like about him is that he sees his portfolio as an investment, is very critical of US government policy, is nervous about the debasing of the dollar via inflation and takes long term views. He's older than I am and a professor from the North, but I'll call him Stevie.

Stevie has been a big fan of TIPS via the Inflation Linked Exchange Traded iShares Fund (TIP- $111.43), but recently he's been selling and reallocating.

After selling some more TIP and splitting the proceeds between cash and closed end funds that focus on dividend paying stocks, here is his portfolio:

7.5% equities via four closed end funds
27.5% cash
40% TIP funds
20% real estate
5% gold coin

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Markets Falling, Volatilities Expanding: Time to Sell Puts
Written By: David Neubert
2007-06-07 16:22:27
With the market falling and volatilities expanding, I was selling puts today on stocks/securities. Yes, I am a contrarian! I sold puts on my safety securities that I wish would fall enough so that I could buy them. These are not speculations, I sold a series of puts on things that have real value and little chance of falling apart. The one thing all three of these instruments have in common is that they are basically pools of fixed income assets.

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My Top Ten Holdings for End of June
Written By: David Neubert
2007-07-03 11:44:05

This is the ongoing list of my top holdings.

David Neubert at Home Office

For the first list by ticker see my May List.

Top Ten Listed/Tradeable Holdings as of June month end (prices as of July 3, 2007):

Ishares Inflation Protected Treasuries ETF (TIP - $98.51)
Chevron Corp (CVX - $86.44)
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/A - $110,000)
Conoco Philips (COP - $80.45)
B P Prudhoe Bay Oil RoyaltyTrust (BPT - $74.09)
Pfizer Inc (PFE - $25.82)
Usiminas S.A. Brazil ADR (USNZY - $58.75)
Amgen Inc (AMGN - $58.75)
Anglo America PLC UK ADR (AAUK - $55.13)
Vanguard Pacific ETF (VPL - $71.86)

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